China Consumer Confidence Fell in February with Stock Market Fall and Snow Storms; Investment Confidence Rebounded
SHANGHAI, China, Feb. 26 /Xinhua-PRNewswire/ -- Xinhua Finance eziData China Consumer Confidence Index (CCCI) was updated today, with the survey results showing that consumer confidence fell by another one point to 95.8 in February after a stabilization in January, affected by the sharp stock market falls starting mid-to-late January and the snow storm disasters in the southern part of China right before the Chinese New Year.
Consumer sentiment on current conditions fell 1 point in February, led by a fall in the purchase intention for durable goods probably caused by the fall in the stock market. Current personal finances, on the contrary, improved for the second consecutive month. Consumer expectations fell further from their peak in July, dropping 0.9 point in February. Among the three components of the overall expectations index, both the index measuring personal finances in one year and the index measuring business outlook in one year fell, while the index measuring business outlook in five years rose slightly. Under the support of the Xinhua Finance family, Xinhua Finance eziData China Consumer Confidence Index is produced monthly by eziData, a local provider of China consumer data, and in association with Dr. Richard Curtin. Dr. Curtin is Research Professor and Director of the Consumer Sentiment Surveys at the University of Michigan's Institute of Social Research. The survey this month was conducted through 1,541 telephone interviews from February 1 to 4, and 15 to 17, 2008 (avoiding the Chinese New Year holidays). April 2007 survey results are set as the benchmark value of 100. More on the survey methodology can be found in the accompanying section.
The sharp stock market falls after mid January had caused significant losses to the investment returns on the part of the consumers, with a sharp month-on-month drop in cumulative 12-month investment returns only next to the drop seen in November 2007. However, consumer's expectations on the future of the stock market did not collapse in February. Instead, it rebounded slightly after a plunge posted the month before, suggesting sufficient confidence among average investors in the current stock index for a rebound. As the government control on the real estate market deepened, overall consumer sentiment on house buying in the year ahead plunged in February, indicating a further decline on the part of the buyers. Consumer sentiment in February failed to retain the rebounding trend shown in January and fell in all three major cities, with the largest drop occurring in Guangzhou. Sentiment among Beijing consumers plunged by 3.1 points to 96.3 to create a record low, with both current conditions and future expectations falling. Sentiment among Shanghai consumers remained the lowest among the three major cities for the third month in a row, with a 1.9-point drop to reach 92.8, as an improvement in current conditions -- which was the second rise in a row -- failed to offset a drop in future expectations. The largest fall in consumer sentiment in February occurred in Guangzhou, with a 4.5-point plunge to reach 93.5. Again, both current conditions and future expectations declined, with all the five components constituting the overall consumer confidence index dropping. As neither the stock market falls nor the snow storms are likely to continue in the long run, it is expected that the consumer confidence has reached its bottom in February. Should no emergencies occur in the short run, the confidence is likely to rebound in March. To find more about CCCI or subscribe to a full version of the survey, please contact us via info@eZiData.com Methodology Xinhua Finance eziData China Consumer Confidence Index is produced in association with Dr. Richard Curtin, Research Professor and Director of the Consumer Sentiment Surveys at the Institute of Social Research, University of Michigan. The index is based on a monthly survey of around 1,500 Chinese households via stratified random sampling in 50 representative cities across East, Middle and West China using the same methodology as is used by the University of Michigan. All data is collected via computer assisted telephone interviewing (CATI). Index of April 2007 survey is set as the benchmark (100). Notes to editors: About Xinhua Finance Limited
For more information, please visit http://www.xinhuafinance.com/ . About eziData
For further information, please contact: Ms Joy Tsang Mr. Scott Zhang
CONTACT: Ms Joy Tsang, +86-21-6113-5999, or mobile, +86-136-2179-1577, Web Site: http://www.ezidata.com/
2008-02-26 22:30:21 0298999 PRNEWSWIRE
HOME || Press Release Archive || © Leigh Media Corporation || Terms of Use || Privacy Policy || Publish Your Press Release Here |